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Selling your house

Bay Area Real Estate Sales.com Newsletter

November 2006

 

IN THIS ISSUE:

 

Marin Home Sales Statistics

Is The Marin Real Estate Market A Bubble About To Burst?

New Marin Real Estate Stats!

What Did Your Neighbors’ House Sell For?

New Poll Finds Consumers Still Confident Of Home Values

Home Sales Plunge, Prices Flat

How To Find A Real Estate Bargain

Uncovering True Cost Of Interest-Only Real Estate Loans

What Do Liz’s Clients Say?

Fast Facts

 

MARIN HOME SALES STATISTICS

 

These statistics show how many homes are available for sale in Marin, and of those how many are currently in contract (either pending or contingent.  For the 2nd month in a row, the Marin overall real estate market is in a “Buyers Market.”

 

Although there are fewer homes on the market this month as compared to last month (approx 200 less), the percentage of homes in contract went up slightly.  My feeling is that many of the homes that did not sell have been pulled from the market, anticipating the slower months during the holiday season, or to possibly restart the Days on Market clock for that house trying to regenerate interest.  It will be interesting to watch what happens over the next 2 months, which history has shown are typically a  slow time for real estate sales.

 

Unlike the last 3 months where homes priced under $500,000 were sitting on the market longer and are were in a “Strong Buyers” , all homes priced under $3,000,000 are in a Buyers Market, and homes priced from $750,000 to $999,999 are very close to a Balanced Market.  The highest priced homes, (Over $3M are still in Strong Buyers Market, and homes over $4 Million are in an Extreme Buyers Market, where only 4% of them are in contract).   I interpret this to means that the “less expensive” homes (if there is such a thing in Marin) are finally selling at a faster clip, which is probably influenced by Feds stabilizing influence on the interest rates.

 

Like last month, Larkspur is still in a Seller’s Market, in fact, it’s moved into a Strong Sellers Market, where 55% of all listed Larkspur homes are in contract.  If you want to sell your Larkspur home, this is the time!   Kentfield and San Anselmo are in a Balanced Market; Corte Madera Mill Valley, Novato, San Rafael are all in a “Buyers Market.”  Belvedere, Fairfax, Greenbrae, Ross, Sausalito and Tiburon are all in a “Strong Buyers” Market.  Ross, which has been in an “Extreme Buyers” market for many months heated up to move into a Strong Buyers Market (on the verge of a Buyers Market).

 

Days on Market (DOM):  The Average DOM continues to increase by 10 days from September – 85 days for September - This means that it is taking an average of 2.5 months for houses to go into a PENDING status.  A note of clarity.  This does NOT mean when the house goes into contract (as it is still in a contingent state).  The DOM clicker is stopped when all contingencies are removed, which is not entirely accurate at tracking how long it takes to get a house into contract.   For example, a seller may have a house go into contract just 1 or 2 weeks after it is first listed, but with a long contingency period (say 45 days).  This would mean that the DOM would show almost 2 months for that house to sell, whereas it was generally off the market after only a few weeks.

 

And for those of you who do read these stats, I’d love to know that you find the information useful!  It actually takes me quite a lot of time to track, compile and post the data each month – and I’d love to know that it is being utilized!  Send me an email to let me know you like getting it! Liz@BayAreaRealEstateSales.com

 

If you know of anyone who would like to receive this monthly newsletter or is thinking of either buying or selling a home please let me know.   I’d love your referrals!

 

MARIN HOME SALES STATISTICS - BY CITY AS OF 11/16/06

 

City

 

Total

 

Active

Number in Contract***

Percent in Contract*

Type of Market*

(See Key)

Belvedere

22

19

3

14%

Strong Buyers

Corte Madera

40

29

11

28%

Buyers

Fairfax

32

26

6

19%

Strong Buyers

Greenbrae

34

30

4

12%

Strong Buyers

Kentfield

27

18

9

33%

Balanced

Larkspur

20

9

11

55%

Strong Sellers

Mill Valley

137

103

34

25%

Buyers

Novato

302

222

80

26%

Buyers

Ross

20

16

4

20%

Strong Buyers

San Anselmo

68

45

23

34%

Balanced

San Rafael

274

207

67

24%

Buyers

Sausalito

75

62

13

17%

Strong Buyers

Tiburon

66

54

12

18%

Strong Buyers

Others

80

62

18

23%

Buyers

Total Marin 11/16/06

1,197

902

295

24.64%

Buyers

Total Marin 10/15/06

1,401

1,095

306

21.84%

Buyers

Total Marin 9/15/06

1,395

1,127

268

19.21%

Strong Buyers

Total Marin 8/18/06

1,346

1,029

317

23.55%

Buyers

Total Marin 7/13/06

1392

1077

315

22.63%

Buyers

Total Marin 6/16/06

1323

959

364

27.51%

Buyers

Total Marin 5/18/06

1,177

817

360

31%

Balanced

Total Marin 4/10/06

977

629

348

36%

Sellers

Total Marin 3/15/06

894

597

297

33%

Balanced

Total Marin 2/20/06

782

520

262

34%

Balanced

Total Marin 1/8/06

611

449

162

19%

Strong Buyers

Total Marin 12/23/05

622

504

118

15%

Strong Buyers

Total Marin 11/27/05

961

655

306

32%

Balanced

Total Marin 10/14/05

1,086

730

356

33%

Balanced

Total Marin 9/11/105

1,012

651

361

36%

Sellers

Total Marin 7/15/05

1,030

616

414

40%

Sellers

Total Marin 5/25/05

940

503

437

46%

Strong Sellers