Bay
Area Real Estate Sales.com Newsletter
November 2006
IN THIS ISSUE:
Marin Home Sales Statistics
Is The Marin Real Estate Market A Bubble About To Burst?
New Marin Real Estate Stats!
What Did Your Neighbors’ House Sell For?
New
Poll Finds Consumers Still Confident Of Home Values
Home
Sales Plunge, Prices Flat
How To Find A
Real Estate Bargain
Uncovering True Cost Of
Interest-Only Real Estate Loans
What Do Liz’s Clients Say?
Fast Facts
MARIN HOME SALES STATISTICS
These statistics show how many homes are available for sale
in Marin, and of those how many are currently in contract (either pending or
contingent. For the 2nd month
in a row, the Marin overall real estate market is in a “Buyers Market.”
Although there are fewer homes on the market this month as
compared to last month (approx 200 less), the percentage of homes in contract
went up slightly. My feeling is that
many of the homes that did not sell have been pulled from the market,
anticipating the slower months during the holiday season, or to possibly
restart the Days on Market clock for that house trying to regenerate
interest. It will be interesting to
watch what happens over the next 2 months, which history has shown are
typically a slow time for real estate
sales.
Unlike the last 3 months where homes priced under $500,000 were
sitting on the market longer and are were in a “Strong Buyers” , all homes
priced under $3,000,000 are in a Buyers Market, and homes priced from $750,000
to $999,999 are very close to a Balanced Market. The highest priced homes, (Over $3M are still
in Strong Buyers Market, and homes over $4 Million are in an Extreme Buyers
Market, where only 4% of them are in contract).
I interpret this to means that
the “less expensive” homes (if there is such a thing in Marin) are finally
selling at a faster clip, which is probably influenced by Feds stabilizing
influence on the interest rates.
Like last month, Larkspur is still in a Seller’s Market, in
fact, it’s moved into a Strong Sellers Market, where 55% of all listed Larkspur
homes are in contract. If you want to
sell your Larkspur home, this is the time!
Kentfield and San Anselmo are in
a Balanced Market; Corte Madera Mill Valley, Novato, San Rafael are all in a
“Buyers Market.” Belvedere, Fairfax, Greenbrae, Ross, Sausalito and Tiburon are all in a “Strong
Buyers” Market. Ross, which has been in an
“Extreme Buyers” market for many months heated up to move into a Strong Buyers
Market (on the verge of a Buyers Market).
Days on Market (DOM):
The Average DOM continues to increase by 10 days from September – 85
days for September - This means that it is taking an average of 2.5 months for
houses to go into a PENDING status. A note of clarity.
This does NOT mean when the house goes into contract (as it is still in
a contingent state). The DOM clicker is
stopped when all contingencies are removed, which is not entirely accurate at
tracking how long it takes to get a house into contract. For example, a seller may have a house go
into contract just 1 or 2 weeks after it is first listed, but with a long
contingency period (say 45 days). This
would mean that the DOM would show almost 2 months for that house to sell,
whereas it was generally off the market after only a few weeks.
And for those of you who do read these stats, I’d love to
know that you find the information useful!
It actually takes me quite a lot of time to track, compile and post the
data each month – and I’d love to know that it is being utilized! Send me an email to let me know you like
getting it! Liz@BayAreaRealEstateSales.com
If you know of anyone
who would like to receive this monthly newsletter or is thinking of either
buying or selling a home please let me know.
I’d love your referrals!
|
MARIN HOME SALES STATISTICS - BY CITY AS OF 11/16/06
|
|
City
|
Total
|
Active
|
Number in Contract***
|
Percent in Contract*
|
Type of Market*
(See Key)
|
|
Belvedere
|
22
|
19
|
3
|
14%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Corte
Madera
|
40
|
29
|
11
|
28%
|
Buyers
|
|
Fairfax
|
32
|
26
|
6
|
19%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Greenbrae
|
34
|
30
|
4
|
12%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Kentfield
|
27
|
18
|
9
|
33%
|
Balanced
|
|
Larkspur
|
20
|
9
|
11
|
55%
|
Strong Sellers
|
|
Mill Valley
|
137
|
103
|
34
|
25%
|
Buyers
|
|
Novato
|
302
|
222
|
80
|
26%
|
Buyers
|
|
Ross
|
20
|
16
|
4
|
20%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
San
Anselmo
|
68
|
45
|
23
|
34%
|
Balanced
|
|
San Rafael
|
274
|
207
|
67
|
24%
|
Buyers
|
|
Sausalito
|
75
|
62
|
13
|
17%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Tiburon
|
66
|
54
|
12
|
18%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Others
|
80
|
62
|
18
|
23%
|
Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 11/16/06
|
1,197
|
902
|
295
|
24.64%
|
Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 10/15/06
|
1,401
|
1,095
|
306
|
21.84%
|
Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 9/15/06
|
1,395
|
1,127
|
268
|
19.21%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 8/18/06
|
1,346
|
1,029
|
317
|
23.55%
|
Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 7/13/06
|
1392
|
1077
|
315
|
22.63%
|
Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 6/16/06
|
1323
|
959
|
364
|
27.51%
|
Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 5/18/06
|
1,177
|
817
|
360
|
31%
|
Balanced
|
|
Total Marin 4/10/06
|
977
|
629
|
348
|
36%
|
Sellers
|
|
Total Marin 3/15/06
|
894
|
597
|
297
|
33%
|
Balanced
|
|
Total Marin 2/20/06
|
782
|
520
|
262
|
34%
|
Balanced
|
|
Total Marin 1/8/06
|
611
|
449
|
162
|
19%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 12/23/05
|
622
|
504
|
118
|
15%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 11/27/05
|
961
|
655
|
306
|
32%
|
Balanced
|
|
Total Marin 10/14/05
|
1,086
|
730
|
356
|
33%
|
Balanced
|
|
Total Marin 9/11/105
|
1,012
|
651
|
361
|
36%
|
Sellers
|
|
Total Marin 7/15/05
|
1,030
|
616
|
414
|
40%
|
Sellers
|
|
Total Marin 5/25/05
|
940
|
503
|
437
|
46%
|
Strong Sellers
|