Bay
Area Real Estate Sales.com Newsletter
October 2007
IN THIS ISSUE:
Marin
Home Sales Statistics
Home Prices Tumble??
What Did Your Neighbors' House Sell For?
Search the Marin MLS for a New Marin Home
Mortgage
Melt-Down Update
Pro's Guide To Painting Home Exteriors
What Do Liz's Clients Say?
Fast
Facts
MARIN HOME SALES
STATISTICS

As expected, the credit crunch had a big impact on sales
last month. Sales of single-family, re-sale homes fell 39.3% from the month
before, and were off 33.3% year-over-year. Year-to-date, home sales are down
2.2%. We expect sales to be slow this month, then
start to recover at the end of the quarter as the credit crunch is alleviated.
The median price
for single-family, re-sale homes in Marin
County fell 3.3% in
September, compared to the month before, up 14% year-over-year. The average price rose 7.8% to set a new
record, and was up 22.6% year-over-year.
The median price for condos soared 29% to $632,000, a new
record, and was up 14.8%, year-over-year. The average price rose 11.2% to
$704,114, up 18.4% compared to September 2006. With only 22 condos sold last
month, these prices are certainly anomalous.
Condo sales were down 52.2% from August, and off 60.7% year-over-year.
Year-to-date, condo sales are off 17.1%.
Prices have not really declined here in Marin. What has declined is the number of sales as well as the
percentage of homes under contract. As you can see from the numbers the average
sales price has increased over the prior month as well as the prior year.
The strongest segment of the market is the "luxury Market" those homes over $2
million. Buyers are still making offers on good properties.
The percentage of listed home in contract, "Pending listed
ratio" is a good indication of the strength of each market. Anything
between a 20%-25% ratio bodes a balanced market where we have an equal number
of buyers and sellers. Anything less than 20% is pushing towards a
buyer's market. As you can see from the numbers Marin is in a Buyer's
market (see chart below), and has been there for at least the past 6
months. It is important to keep in mind that real estate in Marin is
location specific, and you will need to drill down to each market segment
before you draw a broad conclusion as some areas continue to have strength
especially those towns in southern Marin with good school districts.
|
MARIN HOME (CONDO + SFR) SALES STATISTICS - BY CITY AS OF
10/15/07
|
|
City
|
Total
|
Active
|
Number in Contract***
|
Percent in Contract*
|
Type of Market*
(See Key)
|
|
Belvedere
|
22
|
19
|
3
|
14
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Corte
Madera
|
29
|
23
|
6
|
21
|
Buyers
|
|
Fairfax
|
26
|
19
|
7
|
27
|
Buyers
|
|
Greenbrae
|
33
|
27
|
6
|
18
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Kentfield
|
32
|
26
|
6
|
19
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Larkspur
|
32
|
26
|
6
|
19
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Mill Valley
|
121
|
92
|
26
|
21
|
Buyers
|
|
Novato
|
371
|
328
|
43
|
12
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Ross
|
21
|
15
|
6
|
29
|
Buyers
|
|
San
Anselmo
|
52
|
38
|
14
|
27
|
Buyers
|
|
San Rafael
|
285
|
237
|
48
|
17
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Sausalito
|
56
|
44
|
12
|
21
|
Buyers
|
|
Tiburon
|
85
|
69
|
16
|
19
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Others
|
86
|
77
|
9
|
10
|
Extreme Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 10/15/07
|
1,251
|
1,043
|
208
|
16.63
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 9/18/07
|
1,232
|
1,043
|
187
|
15.18%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 8/15/07
|
1,190
|
951
|
239
|
20.8%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 7/15/07
|
1,252
|
969
|
283
|
22.60%
|
Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 6/16/07
|
1,325
|
1,003
|
322
|
24.30%
|
Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 5/16/07
|
1,286
|
948
|
338
|
26.28%
|
Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 4/15/07
|
1,108
|
793
|
315
|
28.43%
|
Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 3/15/07
|
966
|
688
|
278
|
28.78
|
Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 2/15/07
|
893
|
631
|
262
|
29.34%
|
Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 1/15/07
|
720
|
548
|
172
|
23.89%
|
Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 12/15/06
|
898
|
669
|
229
|
25.5%
|
Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 11/16/06
|
1,197
|
902
|
295
|
24.64%
|
Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 10/15/06
|
1,401
|
1,095
|
306
|
21.84%
|
Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 9/15/06
|
1,395
|
1,127
|
268
|
19.21%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 8/18/06
|
1,346
|
1,029
|
317
|
23.55%
|
Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 7/13/06
|
1392
|
1077
|
315
|
22.63%
|
Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 6/16/06
|
|