Bay Area Real Estate Sales.com Newsletter
September 2005
IN THIS ISSUE:
Marin
& San Francisco Home Sales Statistics
13 Extra Costs to be Aware of Before
Buying a Home
In Wake of Hurricane, Mortgage Rates
May Fall Further
NAHB Releases Study On Impact Of
Katrina
Bathroom
Interior Design
Pending Home Sales Index Slips,
Remains High
Fast Facts
Marin
& San Francisco Home Sales Statistics
According to the statistics below, the Marin real estate
market overall trend still seems to be cooling, as 36% of all homes are
currently in contract, as opposed to 40% last period and 46% the period before.
The market seems to have leaned towards a Buyers Market finally in the towns of
Belvedere, Kentfield, Ross and Tiburon, but again, it's important to look at
the whole picture which includes price range. For example, homes priced under
$1 Million are still considered to be in a "Sellers Market," and homes priced
from $1M to $1.5M are considered to be in a "Balanced Market". So even though
you may have heard of inventory increasing, don't be looking for any bargains
under $1.5M. The overall Marin Market shows it to still be a "Sellers Market".
San Francisco has cooled slightly to become a "Sellers
Market" (instead of a "Strong Sellers Market,") with an average of 45% of homes
in contract as compared to 50% last period.; in fact, all homes priced under $1M
are still considered to be in a "Sellers Market."
|
Marin Home Sales Statistics - by city as of 9/11/05
|
|
City
|
Total
|
Active
|
Number in Contract***
|
Percent in Contract*
|
Type of Market*
(See Key)
|
|
Belvedere
|
25
|
20
|
5
|
20%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Corte
Madera
|
22
|
11
|
11
|
50%
|
Strong Sellers
|
|
Fairfax
|
24
|
16
|
8
|
33%
|
Balanced
|
|
Greenbrae
|
18
|
10
|
8
|
44%
|
Sellers
|
|
Kentfield
|
28
|
20
|
3
|
27%
|
Buyers
|
|
Larkspur
|
11
|
8
|
3
|
27%
|
Buyers
|
|
Mill Valley
|
129
|
80
|
49
|
38%
|
Sellers
|
|
Novato
|
253
|
145
|
108
|
43%
|
Sellers
|
|
Ross
|
20
|
16
|
4
|
20%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
San
Anselmo
|
59
|
40
|
19
|
32%
|
Balanced
|
|
San Rafael
|
204
|
130
|
74
|
36%
|
Sellers
|
|
Sausalito
|
66
|
44
|
22
|
33%
|
Balanced
|
|
Tiburon
|
76
|
57
|
18
|
24%
|
Buyers
|
|
Others
|
77
|
54
|
23
|
30%
|
Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 9/11/05
|
1,012
|
651
|
361
|
36%
|
Sellers
|
|
Total Marin 7/15/05
|
1,030
|
616
|
414
|
40%
|
Sellers
|
|
Total Marin 5/25/05
|
940
|
503
|
437
|
46%
|
Strong Sellers
|
|
Total Marin 4/10/05
|
738
|
370
|
368
|
50%
|
Strong Sellers
|
|
Total Marin 3/3/05
|
659
|
331
|
328
|
50%
|
Strong Sellers
|
|
Total Marin 2/1/05
|
460
|
265
|
195
|
42%
|
Sellers
|
|
Total Marin 1/10/05
|
458
|
246
|
212
|
46%
|
Strong Sellers
|
|
Total Marin 12/6/04
|
756
|
367
|
389
|
51%
|
Strong Sellers
|
|
Total Marin 11/4/04
|
927
|
489
|
438
|
47%
|
Strong Sellers
|
|
Total Marin 10/5/04
|
968
|
564
|
404
|
42%
|
Sellers
|
|
Marin Home Sales Statistics
- by price range as of 9/11/05
|
|
Price
|
Total
|
Active
|
Number in Contract***
|
Percent in Contract*
|
Type of Market*
(See Key)
|
|
$500,000-$749,999
|
201
|
93
|
108
|
54%
|
Strong Sellers
|
|
$750,000-$999,999
|
239
|
136
|
103
|
43%
|
Sellers
|
|
$1,000,000-$1,499,999
|
206
|
149
|
57
|
28%
|
Balanced
|
|
$1,500,000-$1,999,999
|
97
|
66
|
35
|
36%
|
Sellers
|
|
$2,000,000-$,2499,999
|
50
|
40
|
10
|
20%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
$2,500,000-$2,999,999
|
44
|
36
|
8
|
18%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
$3,000,000-$3,999,999
|
43
|
36
|
7
|
16%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Over $4,000,000
|
54
|
52
|
2
|
4%
|
Ext Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 9/11/05
|
1,012
|
621
|
361
|
36%
|
Sellers
|
|
Total Marin 7/15/05
|
1,030
|
616
|
414
|
40%
|
Sellers
|
|
Total Marin 5/25/05
|
940
|
503
|
437
|
46%
|
Strong Sellers
|
|
Total Marin 4/10/05
|
770
|
390
|
380
|
49%
|
Strong Sellers
|
|
Total Marin 3/03/05
|
659
|
331
|
328
|
50%
|
Strong Sellers
|
|
Total Marin 2/01/05
|
498
|
293
|
205
|
41%
|
Sellers
|
|
Total Marin 1/10/05
|
458
|
246
|
212
|
46%
|
Strong Sellers
|
|
Total Marin 12/4/04
|
756
|
367
|
389
|
51%
|
Strong Sellers
|
|
Total Marin 11/4/04
|
927
|
489
|
438
|
47%
|
Strong Sellers
|
|
Total Marin 10/5/04
|
968
|
564
|
404
|
42%
|
Strong Sellers
|
|
San Francisco Home Sales
Statistics - by price range as of 9/11/05
|
|
Price
|
Total
|
Active
|
Number in Contract***
|
Percent in Contract*
|
Type of Market*
(See Key)
|
|
$100,000-$749,000
|
989
|
462
|
527
|
53%
|
Strong Sellers
|
|
$750,000-$999,000
|
461
|
286
|
175
|
38%
|
Sellers
|
|
$1,000,000-$1,499,000
|
160
|
105
|
55
|
34%
|
Balanced
|
|
$1,500,000-$1,999,000
|
59
|
40
|
19
|
32%
|
Balanced
|
|
$2,000,000-$2,499,000
|
30
|
24
|
6
|
20%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
$2,500,000-$2,999,000
|
19
|
15
|
4
|
21%
|
Buyers
|
|
$3,000,000-$3,999,000
|
10
|
6
|
4
|
40%
|
Sellers
|
|
Over $4,000,000
|
27
|
24
|
3
|
11%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Total SF 9/11/05
|
1,755
|
962
|
793
|
45%
|
Sellers
|
|
Total SF 7/15/05
|
1,807
|
912
|
895
|
50%
|
Strong Sellers
|
|
Total SF 5/25/05
|
1,576
|
678
|
898
|
57%
|
Ext Sellers
|
|
Total SF 4/20/05
|
1,403
|
625
|
778
|
55%
|
Strong Sellers
|
|
Total SF 1/10/05
|
1,323
|
523
|
800
|
60%
|
Ext Sellers
|
|
Total SF 2/16/05
|
1,113
|
501
|
612
|
55%
|
Strong Sellers
|
|
Total SF 1/10/05
|
984
|
360
|
624
|
63%
|
Ext Sellers
|
|
Total SF 12/4/04
|
1,402
|
556
|
846
|
60%
|
Ext Sellers
|
|
Total SF 11/4/04
|
1,530
|
746
|
924
|
60%
|
Ext Sellers
|
*Key:
0% - 10% of Homes in Escrow:
Extreme Buyer's Market 36% - 45% of Homes in Escrow: Seller's market
11% - 20% of Homes in Escrow: Strong
Buyer's Market 46% - 55% of Homes in Escrow: Strong Seller's market
21% - 30% of Homes in Escrow: Buyer's
Market 56% - 100% of Homes in Escrow: Extreme Seller's
market
31% - 35% of Homes in Escrow:
Balanced Market
**''Based on information from Bay Area Real Estate
Information Services, Inc. (BAREIS) and SFMLS Information has not been
verified, is not guaranteed, and is subject to change and is based on one
period of time."
***Includes
all: Sale Pending & Contingent properties
Back to top
13 Extra Costs to be
Aware of Before Buying a Home
by: Mark Eibner
Whether you're looking to buy your first home, or trading up
to a larger one, there are many costs - on top of the purchase price - that you
must figure into your calculation of affordability. These extra fees, such as
taxes and other additional costs, could surprise you with an unwanted financial
nightmare on closing day if you're not informed and prepared.
Some of
these costs are one-time fixed payments, while others represent an ongoing
monthly or yearly commitment. Not all of these costs will apply in every
situation; however it's better to know about them ahead of time so you can
bud-get properly.
Remember, buying a home is a major milestone. Whether it's
your first, second or tenth home, there are many important details to address,
during the process. The last thing you need are unbudgeted financial
obligations cropping up hours before you take possession of your new home.
Make sure you're budgeting properly for your next move:
1. Appraisal
Fee
Your lending
institution may request an appraisal of the property, which would be your
responsibility to pay for. Appraisals can vary in price from approximately $175
-$ 300.
2. Property
Taxes
Depending on
your down payment, your lending institution may decide to include your property
taxes in your monthly mortgage payments. If your property taxes are not added
to your monthly payments, your lending institution may require annual proof
that your taxes have been paid.
3. Survey
Fee
When the
home you purchase is a resale (vs. a new home), your lending institution may
ask for an updated property survey. The cost for this survey can vary between
$190 - $1,000.
4. Property
Insurance
Home
insurance covers the replacement value of your home (structure and contents).
Your lending institution will request proof that you are insured as it protects
their investment on the loan. Beware! Some homes may not be insurable. Make
sure you have an insurability clause in your purchase contract.
5. Service
Charges
Any new
utility that services your hook up, such as telephone or cable, may require an
installation fee.
6. Escrow
and Document Preparation Fees
Escrow fees
are split between the buyer and the seller in Colorado. However, additional fees will be charged for the buyer's
mortgage closing. This can include first and second mortgages. In addition to
the "Doc Prep" fees charged by the lender, some lenders will e mail
the loan documents and therefore the escrow or title company may charge a
electric to paper fee.
7. Mortgage
Loan Insurance Fee
Depending
upon the equity in your home, some mortgages require mortgage loan insurance.
This type of insurance will cost you between 0.5% -3.5% of the total amount of
the mortgage. Usually payments are made monthly in addition to your mortgage
and tax payment.
8. Mortgage
Brokers Fee
A mortgage
broker is entitled to charge you a fee in order to source a lender and organize
the financing. However, it pays to shop around because many mortgage brokers
will provide their services free to you by having the lending institution
absorb the cost.
9. Moving
Costs
The cost for
a professional mover can cost you in the range of:
$50-$100/hour
for a van and 3 movers, and 10-20% higher during peak demand seasons.
10.
Maintenance or HOA Fees
Condos
charge monthly fees for common area maintenance such as grounds keeping and
carpet cleaning in hallways. Costs will vary depending on the building.
11. Water
Quality and Quality Certification
If the home
you purchased is serviced by a well, you should consider having your water
checked by your local experts. Depending upon where you live, determines
whether or not a fee is charged, to certify the quantity and quality of the
water.
12. Local
Improvements
If the town,
city or county you live in has made local improvements (such as the addition of
sewers or sidewalks), this could impact a property's taxes by hundreds of
dollars.
13.
Metropolitan or Special Tax Districts
This is a
unique tax district set up by the developer to finance all aspects of the
physical infrastructure such as streets, sewer and even recreation centers or
golf courses. The developer only has to put up a small percentage of monies for
these costs and the rest are floated with bonds and added to the homeowners tax
bills until paid off. The arrangement can work nicely when there are plenty of
homebuyers to pick up the tax bill. But, in a down market, watch out...you
could end up holding the bag when there is not enough buyers to fund the bonds.
Back to top
In Wake of Hurricane,
Mortgage Rates May Fall Further
(September 2, 2005) -- Long-term mortgage
rates dropped this week to their lowest point since mid-July, and they may fall
even further due to concerns about high energy prices and the destruction from
Hurricane Katrina, Freddie Mac reports.
The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 5.71 percent for the week ending
Thursday, Sept. 1, down from the previous week's 5.77 percent. Last year at
this time, the 30-year mortgage also stood at 5.77 percent.
Meanwhile, the average rate for a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage declined to 5.32
percent from 5.35 percent last week. One-year adjustable-rate mortgages edged
down slightly to 4.48 percent from 4.56 percent, and five-year hybrid
adjustable-rate mortgages averaged 5.30 percent this week, unchanged from last
week.
"Market jitters about high energy costs and the spill over into other
sectors of the economy have led to a decline in bond yields, which typically
means lower mortgage rates," says Frank Nothaft, vice president and chief
economist at Freddie Mac.
"As if all that wasn't enough, the devastation caused by Hurricane Katrina
and the echo effects on future energy prices in the US may mean that mortgage rates will fall even further
in the coming days ahead," he says.
-By Kelly Quigley for REALTOR® Magazine Online
Back to top
NAHB Releases Study On
Impact Of Katrina
September 2, 2005 - Economists for the National
Association of Home Builders (NAHB) today released the following report on how
the destruction spawned by Hurricane Katrina could affect the price and supply
of building materials. For further information, please contact Paul Lopez at
(202) 266-8409 office.
IMPACT OF HURRICANE KATRINA ON BUILDING MATERIALS AND PRICES
The full extent of the impact of Hurricane Katrina on the
overall economy and on the housing market is still unclear, and the immediate
focus is properly on human life and health, but the number of homes destroyed
by this catastrophe is almost certain to dwarf the losses from any previous
U.S. natural disaster. Past experience, together with the visible
devastation, provides some basis for projecting the effects on construction
activity, the supply and cost of building materials and construction labor, and
other implications for the housing market.
The number of housing units destroyed (made uninhabitable
and beyond economically-justified repair) by Hurricane Andrew in 1992 was
estimated at over 28,000. The combined effect of Hurricanes Jeanne, Ivan, Frances, and
Charley in 2004 was almost as large, with nearly 27,500 housing units
destroyed, according to estimates compiled by the American Red Cross. In
those cases, most of the destruction was caused by winds or the immediate force
of the storm surge. The number of homes with major but reparable damage
was more than twice the number destroyed. The 1906 San Francisco earthquake/fire reportedly destroyed
28,000 "buildings."
Katrina also caused widespread immediate damage in Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama, but the flooding in New Orleans, Mobile, and elsewhere is likely to translate into much larger numbers of homes
destroyed. Although the floods generally did not tear off roofs or walls
or cause structures to collapse, many homes will be permanently
uninhabitable. The flood waters carried contaminants that cannot easily
be removed, and even if the water were clean, prolonged submersion would cause
structures to be damaged beyond repair. This is likely to be the fate of
a large share of the more than 200,000 homes in the city of New Orleans.
Of necessity, rebuilding will have to wait. The
immediate need will be to clean up and repair damage to structures that are
still viable. The repair process will absorb much of the construction
labor near the affected area and several key materials that would otherwise
have been used to build new homes. The materials that will be most
affected include roofing and wood panels (plywood and OSB). Demand for
other materials, such as concrete, is likely to decline initially, as planned
projects are cancelled or delayed during the initial recovery period.
The storm will have impacts on the supply of materials as
well as demand. The areas affected by the storm have a significant number
of wood product facilities that may have been damaged or destroyed. On
the other hand, trees that have been blown down will need to be harvested on an
accelerated basis, perhaps helping to lower wood product prices in the medium
term.
Additionally, imports of building materials will be
disrupted by the damage to port facilities. New Orleans was the top destination for imports
of cement and a number of other building materials into the U.S. in 2004. Cement imports, in particular, involve
the use of specialized terminal facilities. The New Orleans and Mobile customs districts reported about 12 percent of national
cement imports in 2004.
Congestion caused by diversion of shipping to other ports
will also probably disrupt some supplies of materials, as will land
transportation problems caused by damage to roads, rail, and reload centers.
From July 1992 to September 1992, largely as a consequence
of Hurricane Andrew, the average price for plywood increased from about $222
per 1,000 square feet to $321, and the price of Southern pine framing lumber
rose from $264 per 1,000 board feet to $308. The hurricanes in 2004 did
not trigger a similar increase, and prices actually fell during the relevant
period, after soaring during the preceding year. The combination of
greater (partly speculative) demand and disrupted supply produced a spike in
lumber and panel prices in the final days of August 2005. With production
already running at full capacity for wood panels, further increases for those
products, as well as for roofing, are likely.
Although the loss of tens of thousands of homes implies
increased demand for, and construction of, new homes, past experience has shown
that there is no massive surge in home building in affected areas.
Replacing units destroyed by the storm will not begin for many months and will
take place slowly, over a number of years.
In Dade County (now called Miami-Dade), the number of residential permits was 9,026 or
7.8 percent of the state total in 1993, the year following Hurricane
Andrew. That share of the state was slightly lower than the county's 7.9
percent share in 1991. By 1995, there was an increase to 14,718 or 12.0
percent of the state, but that number still wasn't much greater than what might
have been expected if there hadn't been a hurricane.
The experience in other areas, such as Alameda County, Calif. following the 1991 fires and Charleston, S.C., after Hurricane Hugo in 1989, was
similar. Homes were rebuilt or replaced very slowly.
Back to top
Bathroom
Interior Design
by: Allan Wilson
Any advice or guide on the interior
design of a bathroom should be based around one simple concept: keep it simple.
Rooms inside of a home should have functional aspects, and if one room is
designed for very specific functions, it is the bathroom. There have always
been many jokes about the "throne" of a home, but the honest fact is
that creating a visibly appealing and comfortable bathroom will inspire
positive feelings to its users.
Hardware choices should be the
primary concern when designing a bathroom. Faucets and spigots, as well as tubs
and toilets, produced in a variety of shapes and materials can centerpiece a
design. Open showers are currently popular with the younger upwardly- mobile crowd,
and claw-foot bathtubs are almost always considered to be classic and
attractive. Evaluate privacy issues first; don't put the toilet and tub too
close together.
Is it a possibility to center your
bathroom around a favorite theme? The answer is most certainly "yes."
Keeping in mind that "less is more" while choosing a decoration
pattern that will coordinate with the rest of the home will open many design
possibilities. Finding a color or pattern inspiration from simple or small
artwork may be the first step toward creating a bathroom masterpiece.
When designing a bathroom's tiling,
take the time to shop around through different hardware, decoration and craft
stores. The more expensive of the different types of tiles should have
durability, aesthetic value, and a non-porous surface. It should be easily
cleaned and sanitized, and it needs to install easily without any expensive or
caustic glues or cements. Get creative also; all tile in bathrooms need not be
made of porcelain.
After the design and production of a space-conscious and
attractive bathroom have been completed, focus on decoration accessories to
bring out personality and individualism. The bathroom is the most sacred room
of any interior, and placing prized possessions on the walls or shelves is an
interesting way to bless this special room. Use courageous ideas and do not be
afraid to take chances, but above all: keep it simple.
Back to top
Pending Home Sales Index
Slips, Remains High
WASHINGTON (September 1, 2005) - Pending home sales declined
slightly but remain historically high, according to the National Association of
Realtors®.
The Pending Home Sales Index,* based on data collected for July, slipped 1.0
percent to a reading of 125.1, but is 3.5 percent higher than July 2004.
The index, a leading indicator for the housing sector, is based on pending
sales of existing homes. A sale is pending when the contract has been signed
but the transaction has not closed; pending home sales typically close within
one or two months of signing.
David Lereah, NAR's chief economist, said the level of the index is more
important than minor shifts in direction. "The Pending Home Sales Index is at
the fifth highest reading on record, meaning we can expect historically high
home sales to continue in the months ahead," he said. "The index has been
fluctuating in a fairly narrow range over the last six months - a very high
range - so the overall market is moving forward with a lot of momentum."
An index of 100 is equal to the average level of contract activity during 2001,
the first year to be analyzed. Coincidentally, 2001 was the first of four
consecutive record years for existing-home sales. 2001 sales are fairly close
to the higher level of home sales expected in the coming decade relative to the
norms experienced in the mid-1990s. As such, an index of 100 coincides with a
historically high level of home sales activity.
Regionally, the PHSI in the South rose 1.2 percent to record of 139.2 in July
and was 8.3 percent higher than July 2004. The index in the West slipped 1.1
percent to a reading of 127.5, but was 4.7 higher than a year earlier. In the Midwest, the index declined 3.1 percent to 113.6,
and was 2.5 percent below July 2004. The Northeast index fell 3.7 percent to
109.0 in July, and was 0.8 percent lower than a year ago.
The Pending Home Sales Index is based on a large national sample, representing
about 20 percent of transactions for existing-home sales. In developing the
model for the index, it was demonstrated that the level of monthly
sales-contract activity from 2001 through 2004 closely parallels the level of
closed existing-home sales in the following two months.
-NAR
Back to top
Fast Facts
Calif. median home price - July 05: $540,900 (Source: C.A.R.)
Calif. affordability index - June 05: 16
percent (Source: C.A.R.)
Calif. highest median home price by C.A.R. region July 05: Santa Barbara So.
Coast $1,325,000 (Source: C.A.R.)
Calif. lowest median home price by C.A.R. region July 05: High Desert
$298,950 (Source: C.A.R.)
Mortgage rates - week ending 9/8: (Source: Freddie Mac)
·
30-yr. fixed:
5.71%; Fees/points: 0.6%
·
15-yr. fixed:
5.30%; Fees/points: 0.5%
·
1-yr. adjustable:
4.48%; Fees/points: 0.7%
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