Bay Area Real Estate Sales.com Newsletter
July 2006
IN THIS ISSUE:
Marin Home Sales
Statistics
Cooling Real Estate Market
Presents Challenge for Sellers
Should I Remodel or Move?
What do Liz’s Client’s Say?
Fast Facts
Marin Home Sales
Statistics
The overall Marin home sales market continues to cool according
to the following statistics.
These statistics show how many homes are available for sale
in Marin, and of those how many are currently in contract (either pending or
contingent). The average overall Marin market continues to be a Buyers Market.
Interestingly enough, homes priced under $500,000 are not
selling, and are currently in a “Strong Buyers” Market. Homes priced from
$500,000 to $749,000 are in a “Balanced Market”; Homes priced from $750,000 to
$1.5 Million are in a “Buyers Market”.
Last month Corte Madera, Fairfax and Larkspur were all in “Sellers
Markets”, whereas this month only Larkspur is still in a Sellers Market. Fairfax, Kentfield, Mill Valley, Novato, San Anselmo, San Rafael, and Sausalito are all in
a Buyers Market; Belvedere, Corte Madera, and Tiburon are all in a Strong
Buyers Market; and Ross is in an Extreme Buyers Market.
Days on Market (DOM) and price changes when sold: The
Average DOM for July is 63 days (as compared to 61 for June) and the Median is
38 (as compared to 48 for June). Sold price changes as compared to the
original list price based on DOM. Although homes are sitting on the market
for longer, prices are not dropping dramatically. For example, Year-to-date,
homes that have “sat” for 121+ days the eventual sales price is still 95% of
the original list price. Selling within 90 days, it is 97% of the original
list price.
If you know of anyone who would like to receive this monthly
newsletter or is thinking of either buying or selling a home please let me
know. I’d love your referrals!
|
MARIN HOME SALES
STATISTICS - BY CITY AS OF 7/13/06
|
|
City
|
Total
|
Active
|
Number in Contract***
|
Percent in Contract*
|
Type of Market*
(See Key)
|
|
Belvedere
|
19
|
17
|
2
|
11%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Corte
Madera
|
35
|
28
|
7
|
20%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Fairfax
|
39
|
28
|
11
|
28%
|
Buyers
|
|
Greenbrae
|
25
|
17
|
8
|
32%
|
Balanced
|
|
Kentfield
|
32
|
25
|
7
|
22%
|
Buyers
|
|
Larkspur
|
24
|
15
|
9
|
38%
|
Sellers
|
|
Mill Valley
|
158
|
118
|
40
|
25%
|
Buyers
|
|
Novato
|
361
|
278
|
83
|
23%
|
Buyers
|
|
Ross
|
26
|
24
|
2
|
8%
|
Extreme Buyers
|
|
San
Anselmo
|
62
|
49
|
13
|
21%
|
Buyers
|
|
San Rafael
|
327
|
249
|
78
|
24%
|
Buyers
|
|
Sausalito
|
82
|
63
|
19
|
23%
|
Buyers
|
|
Tiburon
|
91
|
74
|
17
|
19%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Others
|
111
|
92
|
19
|
17%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 7/13/06
|
1392
|
1077
|
315
|
22.63%
|
Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 6/16/06
|
1323
|
959
|
364
|
27.51%
|
Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 5/18/06
|
1,177
|
817
|
360
|
31%
|
Balanced
|
|
Total Marin 4/10/06
|
977
|
629
|
348
|
36%
|
Sellers
|
|
Total Marin 3/15/06
|
894
|
597
|
297
|
33%
|
Balanced
|
|
Total Marin 2/20/06
|
782
|
520
|
262
|
34%
|
Balanced
|
|
Total Marin 1/8/06
|
611
|
449
|
162
|
19%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 12/23/05
|
622
|
504
|
118
|
15%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 11/27/05
|
961
|
655
|
306
|
32%
|
Balanced
|
|
Total Marin 10/14/05
|
1,086
|
730
|
356
|
33%
|
Balanced
|
|
Total Marin 9/11/105
|
1,012
|
651
|
361
|
36%
|
Sellers
|
|
Total Marin 7/15/05
|
1,030
|
616
|
414
|
40%
|
Sellers
|
|
Total Marin 5/25/05
|
940
|
503
|
437
|
46%
|
Strong Sellers
|
|
MARIN HOME SALES STATISTICS
- BY PRICE RANGE AS OF 7/13/06
|
|
Price
|
Total
|
Active
|
Number in Contract***
|
Percent in Contract*
|
Type of Market*
(See Key)
|
|
$100,000-$499,999
|
136
|
113
|
23
|
17%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
$500,000-$749,999
|
281
|
187
|
94
|
33%
|
Balanced
|
|
$750,000-$999,999
|
354
|
270
|
84
|
24%
|
Buyers
|
|
$1,000,000-$1,499,999
|
271
|
215
|
56
|
21%
|
Buyers
|
|
$1,500,000-$1,999,999
|
145
|
120
|
25
|
17%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
$2,000,000-$,2499,999
|
59
|
42
|
17
|
29%
|
Buyers
|
|
$2,500,000-$2,999,999
|
45
|
40
|
5
|
11%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
$3,000,000-$3,999,999
|
47
|
39
|
8
|
17%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Over $4,000,000
|
54
|
51
|
3
|
6%
|
Extreme Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 7/13/06
|
1392
|
1077
|
315
|
23%
|
Buyers
|
|
DAYS ON MARKET (DOM)**
|
|
Date
|
Average
|
Median
|
Maximum
|
|
7/13/06
|
63
|
43
|
1052
|
|
SOLD PRICE CHANGE VS LIST PRICE
BASED ON # OF DAYS ON MARKET**
|
|
Days on Market
|
0-30 Days
|
31-60 Days
|
61-90 Days
|
91-120 Days
|
121+ Days
|
Total
|
|
June SP vs.
LP
|
101.15%
|
97.86%
|
95.67%
|
97.36%
|
95.01%
|
|
|
June # of
Solds
|
127
|
88
|
42
|
20
|
33
|
310
|
|
Year to
Date SP vs. LP
|
101.16%
|
98.38%
|
96.89%
|
96.99%
|
94.65%
|
|
|
Year to
Date # of Solds
|
530
|
370
|
196
|
100
|
199
|
1395
|
|
*Key to market type:
|
|
0% - 10%
of Homes in Escrow: Extreme Buyers
|
36% - 45%
of Homes in Escrow: Sellers
|
|
11% - 20%
of Homes in Escrow: Strong Buyers
|
46% - 55%
of Homes in Escrow: Strong Sellers
|
|
21% - 30%
of Homes in Escrow: Buyers
|
56% - 100%
of Homes in Escrow: Extreme Sellers
|
|
31% - 35% of Homes in Escrow:
Balanced Market
|
**Based on
information from Bay Area Real Estate Information Services, Inc. (BAREIS).
Information has not been verified, is not guaranteed, and is subject to change
and is based on one period of time.”
***Includes
all: Sale Pending & Contingent properties
Back to top
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details and pictures.
Cooling Real Estate
Market Presents Challenge for Sellers
By Diane Hymer
The housing market has changed. There are fewer multiple
offers. Negotiation is back in vogue. Listings, in general, are taking longer
to sell. And some listings are not selling at all.
What are your options if your home is less desirable in the current marketplace
than you'd hoped it would be?
One option is reduce your price. Another is to hold out for a while, hoping
that the market improves to meet your price. In most cases, however, the latter
option is unlikely to yield results.
The robust housing market of the last several years appears to be taking a
break. No one knows how long it will be before we see double-digit price
appreciation again. Many experts believe it will be years.
A third option, if there's no urgency to sell, is to rent
the property for a time and sell at a later date. This might be worth
considering. However, as with any scheme, there are pros and cons that should
be evaluated carefully before making a decision.
On the positive side, a property that is, or will soon be,
sitting empty will generate income. This income can help offset mortgage and
property tax obligations and homeowner association dues for condo owners.
Another plus is that you can buy time until the market improves.
On the other side, consider that the market in most places
is still good. 2006 isn't expected to be as strong a year for homes sales as
was 2005, which was the best year ever. However, David Lereah, chief economist
for the National Association of Realtors, predicts that the 2006 home sales
volume will be the third best ever.
A risk in renting now and selling in 2007 or later is that the home sale market
might not be as good then as it is now. If interest rates rise considerably in
the interim, it most certainly won't be better. A downturn in the general
economy also wouldn't bode well for the housing market, particularly if
accompanied by higher interest rates and oil prices.
HOME SELLER TIP: An important factor to consider is the tax
implications of renting rather than selling. If you have owned and occupied the
property as your primary residence for two of the last five years, you are
entitled to a capital gain tax exemption. For a single individual, $250,000 of
capital gain is tax-free. The exemption is $500,000 for a married couple who
files jointly.
If you wait over three years to sell because of market
conditions, you would lose this valuable exemption unless you move back in to
the property, which might not be convenient or possible at that time.
You could forgo the exemption and turn the property into a permanent rental for
tax purposes. At some later date, you might do a 1031 exchange and trade this
investment property for another, thereby deferring tax on the gain.
However, deferring gain on an investment property may not be
as advantageous as taking the tax-free gain you can realize when you sell a
personal residence. Be sure to consult with a knowledgeable tax adviser about
the consequences of turning your single-family residence into a temporary or
permanent rental.
Even if you do sell in time to preserve your capital gain
tax exemption, you're likely to face additional expenses preparing your home
for sale. Tenants usually don't care for a property as an owner would, so you
should anticipate that repairs and renovations will be necessary.
THE CLOSING: When you take into account the cost of future
renovations and staging, and the uncertainty of a future market, you might be
better off lowering your asking price and selling now.
Back to top
Should I Remodel or Move?
Most homeowners will sooner or later
give serious thought to remodeling. Recently, a homeowner contemplated doing a
costly renovation to a small, two-bedroom home. The major expense was the
kitchen, which was only marginally functional. For more space, walls had to be knocked
out. The engineering that was required to do this ran the cost of the kitchen
up to $100,000. Does it make sense to make such costly renovations if you don't
increase the square footage of the house in the process?
Before you can make a decision, you need to know the approximate current value
of your home. The easiest way to get this information is to call your real
estate agent and ask for a current market evaluation of your property. One
quick phone call to your agent may be all it takes to decide whether or not to
proceed with your plans.
For instance, one Oakland, Calif., homeowner paid $350,000 for his home six
years ago. Without doing anything to the house, it would probably fetch
$600,000 in the current market. If he were to proceed with the renovations at a
cost of $150,000, he'd have $500,000 invested in the property—well below the
current market value of the home in its present condition. The property will no
doubt be worth quite a bit more after it's remodeled.
A general rule-of-thumb for remodeling is to make sure that you don't
over-improve your home for the neighborhood. If the renovation tab in the above
example were to escalate to $300,000, you could risk over-improving for the
neighborhood. It's not a good idea, from an investment standpoint, to