Bay Area Real Estate Sales.com Newsletter
July 2006
IN THIS ISSUE:
Marin Home Sales
Statistics
Cooling Real Estate Market
Presents Challenge for Sellers
Should I Remodel or Move?
What do Liz’s Client’s Say?
Fast Facts
Marin Home Sales
Statistics
The overall Marin home sales market continues to cool according
to the following statistics.
These statistics show how many homes are available for sale
in Marin, and of those how many are currently in contract (either pending or
contingent). The average overall Marin market continues to be a Buyers Market.
Interestingly enough, homes priced under $500,000 are not
selling, and are currently in a “Strong Buyers” Market. Homes priced from
$500,000 to $749,000 are in a “Balanced Market”; Homes priced from $750,000 to
$1.5 Million are in a “Buyers Market”.
Last month Corte Madera, Fairfax and Larkspur were all in “Sellers
Markets”, whereas this month only Larkspur is still in a Sellers Market. Fairfax, Kentfield, Mill Valley, Novato, San Anselmo, San Rafael, and Sausalito are all in
a Buyers Market; Belvedere, Corte Madera, and Tiburon are all in a Strong
Buyers Market; and Ross is in an Extreme Buyers Market.
Days on Market (DOM) and price changes when sold: The
Average DOM for July is 63 days (as compared to 61 for June) and the Median is
38 (as compared to 48 for June). Sold price changes as compared to the
original list price based on DOM. Although homes are sitting on the market
for longer, prices are not dropping dramatically. For example, Year-to-date,
homes that have “sat” for 121+ days the eventual sales price is still 95% of
the original list price. Selling within 90 days, it is 97% of the original
list price.
If you know of anyone who would like to receive this monthly
newsletter or is thinking of either buying or selling a home please let me
know. I’d love your referrals!
|
MARIN HOME SALES
STATISTICS - BY CITY AS OF 7/13/06
|
|
City
|
Total
|
Active
|
Number in Contract***
|
Percent in Contract*
|
Type of Market*
(See Key)
|
|
Belvedere
|
19
|
17
|
2
|
11%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Corte
Madera
|
35
|
28
|
7
|
20%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Fairfax
|
39
|
28
|
11
|
28%
|
Buyers
|
|
Greenbrae
|
25
|
17
|
8
|
32%
|
Balanced
|
|
Kentfield
|
32
|
25
|
7
|
22%
|
Buyers
|
|
Larkspur
|
24
|
15
|
9
|
38%
|
Sellers
|
|
Mill Valley
|
158
|
118
|
40
|
25%
|
Buyers
|
|
Novato
|
361
|
278
|
83
|
23%
|
Buyers
|
|
Ross
|
26
|
24
|
2
|
8%
|
Extreme Buyers
|
|
San
Anselmo
|
62
|
49
|
13
|
21%
|
Buyers
|
|
San Rafael
|
327
|
249
|
78
|
24%
|
Buyers
|
|
Sausalito
|
82
|
63
|
19
|
23%
|
Buyers
|
|
Tiburon
|
91
|
74
|
17
|
19%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Others
|
111
|
92
|
19
|
17%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 7/13/06
|
1392
|
1077
|
315
|
22.63%
|
Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 6/16/06
|
1323
|
959
|
364
|
27.51%
|
Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 5/18/06
|
1,177
|
817
|
360
|
31%
|
Balanced
|
|
Total Marin 4/10/06
|
977
|
629
|
348
|
36%
|
Sellers
|
|
Total Marin 3/15/06
|
894
|
597
|
297
|
33%
|
Balanced
|
|
Total Marin 2/20/06
|
782
|
520
|
262
|
34%
|
Balanced
|
|
Total Marin 1/8/06
|
611
|
449
|
162
|
19%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 12/23/05
|
622
|
504
|
118
|
15%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 11/27/05
|
961
|
655
|
306
|
32%
|
Balanced
|
|
Total Marin 10/14/05
|
1,086
|
730
|
356
|
33%
|
Balanced
|
|
Total Marin 9/11/105
|
1,012
|
651
|
361
|
36%
|
Sellers
|
|
Total Marin 7/15/05
|
1,030
|
616
|
414
|
40%
|
Sellers
|
|
Total Marin 5/25/05
|
940
|
503
|
437
|
46%
|
Strong Sellers
|
|
MARIN HOME SALES STATISTICS
- BY PRICE RANGE AS OF 7/13/06
|
|
Price
|
Total
|
Active
|
Number in Contract***
|
Percent in Contract*
|
Type of Market*
(See Key)
|
|
$100,000-$499,999
|
136
|
113
|
23
|
17%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
$500,000-$749,999
|
281
|
187
|
94
|
33%
|
Balanced
|
|
$750,000-$999,999
|
354
|
270
|
84
|
24%
|
Buyers
|
|
$1,000,000-$1,499,999
|
271
|
215
|
56
|
21%
|
Buyers
|
|
$1,500,000-$1,999,999
|
145
|
120
|
25
|
17%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
$2,000,000-$,2499,999
|
59
|
42
|
17
|
29%
|
Buyers
|
|
$2,500,000-$2,999,999
|
45
|
40
|
5
|
11%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
$3,000,000-$3,999,999
|
47
|
39
|
8
|
17%
|
Strong Buyers
|
|
Over $4,000,000
|
54
|
51
|
3
|
6%
|
Extreme Buyers
|
|
Total Marin 7/13/06
|
1392
|
1077
|
315
|
23%
|
Buyers
|
|
DAYS ON MARKET (DOM)**
|
|
Date
|
Average
|
Median
|
Maximum
|
|
7/13/06
|
63
|
43
|
1052
|
|
SOLD PRICE CHANGE VS LIST PRICE
BASED ON # OF DAYS ON MARKET**
|
|
Days on Market
|
0-30 Days
|
31-60 Days
|
61-90 Days
|
91-120 Days
|
121+ Days
|
Total
|
|
June SP vs.
LP
|
101.15%
|
97.86%
|
95.67%
|
97.36%
|
95.01%
|
|
|
June # of
Solds
|
127
|
88
|
42
|
20
|
33
|
310
|
|
Year to
Date SP vs. LP
|
101.16%
|
98.38%
|
96.89%
|
96.99%
|
94.65%
|
|
|
Year to
Date # of Solds
|
530
|
370
|
196
|
100
|
199
|
1395
|
|
*Key to market type:
|
|
0% - 10%
of Homes in Escrow: Extreme Buyers
|
36% - 45%
of Homes in Escrow: Sellers
|
|
11% - 20%
of Homes in Escrow: Strong Buyers
|
46% - 55%
of Homes in Escrow: Strong Sellers
|
|
21% - 30%
of Homes in Escrow: Buyers
|
56% - 100%
of Homes in Escrow: Extreme Sellers
|
|
31% - 35% of Homes in Escrow:
Balanced Market
|
**Based on
information from Bay Area Real Estate Information Services, Inc. (BAREIS).
Information has not been verified, is not guaranteed, and is subject to change
and is based on one period of time.”
***Includes
all: Sale Pending & Contingent properties
Back to top
FREE…..You can search for Marin listings directly on
BayAreaRealEstateSales.com: Search for Homes
Great new Listing in San
Anselmo
Fall in love with this sunny and bright 3 Bedroom, 2
Bathroom charming San Anselmo home. You'll find 1930's period details, an
updated kitchen with marble counters and high-end stainless-steel appliances,
hardwood floors and decorator colors. It is just up the street from one of San
Anselmo's award wining elementary schools. It has a sunny deck for
entertaining, a flat, grassy yard with a swing-set and a private drive with a
locking gate. Ample storage and parking.
Go to www.27Rutherford.com for more property
details and pictures.
Cooling Real Estate
Market Presents Challenge for Sellers
By Diane Hymer
The housing market has changed. There are fewer multiple
offers. Negotiation is back in vogue. Listings, in general, are taking longer
to sell. And some listings are not selling at all.
What are your options if your home is less desirable in the current marketplace
than you'd hoped it would be?
One option is reduce your price. Another is to hold out for a while, hoping
that the market improves to meet your price. In most cases, however, the latter
option is unlikely to yield results.
The robust housing market of the last several years appears to be taking a
break. No one knows how long it will be before we see double-digit price
appreciation again. Many experts believe it will be years.
A third option, if there's no urgency to sell, is to rent
the property for a time and sell at a later date. This might be worth
considering. However, as with any scheme, there are pros and cons that should
be evaluated carefully before making a decision.
On the positive side, a property that is, or will soon be,
sitting empty will generate income. This income can help offset mortgage and
property tax obligations and homeowner association dues for condo owners.
Another plus is that you can buy time until the market improves.
On the other side, consider that the market in most places
is still good. 2006 isn't expected to be as strong a year for homes sales as
was 2005, which was the best year ever. However, David Lereah, chief economist
for the National Association of Realtors, predicts that the 2006 home sales
volume will be the third best ever.
A risk in renting now and selling in 2007 or later is that the home sale market
might not be as good then as it is now. If interest rates rise considerably in
the interim, it most certainly won't be better. A downturn in the general
economy also wouldn't bode well for the housing market, particularly if
accompanied by higher interest rates and oil prices.
HOME SELLER TIP: An important factor to consider is the tax
implications of renting rather than selling. If you have owned and occupied the
property as your primary residence for two of the last five years, you are
entitled to a capital gain tax exemption. For a single individual, $250,000 of
capital gain is tax-free. The exemption is $500,000 for a married couple who
files jointly.
If you wait over three years to sell because of market
conditions, you would lose this valuable exemption unless you move back in to
the property, which might not be convenient or possible at that time.
You could forgo the exemption and turn the property into a permanent rental for
tax purposes. At some later date, you might do a 1031 exchange and trade this
investment property for another, thereby deferring tax on the gain.
However, deferring gain on an investment property may not be
as advantageous as taking the tax-free gain you can realize when you sell a
personal residence. Be sure to consult with a knowledgeable tax adviser about
the consequences of turning your single-family residence into a temporary or
permanent rental.
Even if you do sell in time to preserve your capital gain
tax exemption, you're likely to face additional expenses preparing your home
for sale. Tenants usually don't care for a property as an owner would, so you
should anticipate that repairs and renovations will be necessary.
THE CLOSING: When you take into account the cost of future
renovations and staging, and the uncertainty of a future market, you might be
better off lowering your asking price and selling now.
Back to top
Should I Remodel or Move?
Most homeowners will sooner or later
give serious thought to remodeling. Recently, a homeowner contemplated doing a
costly renovation to a small, two-bedroom home. The major expense was the
kitchen, which was only marginally functional. For more space, walls had to be knocked
out. The engineering that was required to do this ran the cost of the kitchen
up to $100,000. Does it make sense to make such costly renovations if you don't
increase the square footage of the house in the process?
Before you can make a decision, you need to know the approximate current value
of your home. The easiest way to get this information is to call your real
estate agent and ask for a current market evaluation of your property. One
quick phone call to your agent may be all it takes to decide whether or not to
proceed with your plans.
For instance, one Oakland, Calif., homeowner paid $350,000 for his home six
years ago. Without doing anything to the house, it would probably fetch
$600,000 in the current market. If he were to proceed with the renovations at a
cost of $150,000, he'd have $500,000 invested in the property—well below the
current market value of the home in its present condition. The property will no
doubt be worth quite a bit more after it's remodeled.
A general rule-of-thumb for remodeling is to make sure that you don't
over-improve your home for the neighborhood. If the renovation tab in the above
example were to escalate to $300,000, you could risk over-improving for the
neighborhood. It's not a good idea, from an investment standpoint, to improve
your home to the point that it's best house on the block. Market price is held
back somewhat by the lower-priced homes on the block.
Your real estate agent can help you to determine if you will be over-improving
for the neighborhood. Ask for comparable sales information for listings in the
neighborhood that you foresee will be similar to your home after it's
remodeled. If the comparables sold for less than the amount of the current
value of your home plus the cost of the renovation, you may be spending too
much on the remodel.
HOME SELLER TIP: Keep in mind that you usually don't recoup 100 percent on a
major renovation if you sell immediately after the work is done. Just as it's
risky to buy a home if you plan on moving again soon, it's also better to
postpone a major remodel if you're personal life or financial situation is
uncertain.
The disruption of remodeling can be murderous on relationships. If the
construction will take the kitchen and baths out of commission, consider moving
to an interim rental for the duration. The cost of maintaining two homes should
be factored into your budget.
Before embarking on a big remodeling project, find out what kind of home you
can buy for the same investment. You may find that for the same amount you plan
to invest in remodeling, you can buy a larger, more comfortable home that will
provide more appreciation potential in the long run.
For instance, let's say you own a two-bedroom home that's worth $600,000. If
you invest $100,000 in a kitchen remodel, you'll still only have a two-bedroom
house. If you can find a suitable three-bedroom replacement home for $700,000,
you might be better off selling your home and buying the larger one.
THE CLOSING: Don't forget to take resale value into account when you remodel.
It's important to please yourself. But, from an investment standpoint, you
should make sure that potential buyers will also think your improvements add
value.
Back to top
FREE…..You can search for Marin listings directly on
BayAreaRealEstateSales.com: Search for Homes
Back to top
What do Liz’s Clients Say?
“I knew I was onto something special
when I first emailed Liz McCarthy back in February 2006 stating that my family
was possibly thinking about making a move to Marin County sometime in the
foreseeable future; MAYBE. While other brokers would have surely chucked it off
as lacking sufficient intent (words like flaky and capricious also spring to
mind), Liz was nothing of the sort. Instead, she was instantly at the ready,
sending me as much information as I could possibly wade through to help me
decide whether a relocation would be right for my family.
There was no pressure: Just unbridled
enthusiasm, expert knowledge of the local property market and the sort of
white-glove treatment one would hardly expect for a definite maybe.
… We couldn't be more delighted with
the quality of Liz's service…Words cannot convey our appreciation for her
endless patience, support, kindness, understanding, knowledge, intelligence,
humor and nearly maniacal attention to detail and all-around exceptional
performance.
I would wholeheartedly recommend her
to anyone seeking a home at any price or description in the Marin area, whether
it's a local move, a cross-country relocation or even an international
transaction. Liz is beyond the pale in overcoming stumbling blocks that would
leave other brokers straggling in the mist.
We consider ourselves wildly
fortunate to have found her Web site--the best there is for its wealth of
information and interactive tools. And we are even more honored to call her our
neighbor and our friend.”
-Sue Rosenstock and Ken Wei
If you would like to have Liz help you sell your Marin home
or help you in finding a home, or you know of someone that could benefit from
her services, just send her an email: Liz@BayAreaRealEstateSales.com
“High-Touch through
High-Tech”: Did you know that Liz McCarthy is ePro Internet Certified by the
National Association of Realtors and that 70 percent of home buyers today use
the internet in their home search? Why are you still working with a Realtor
who isn’t a technology expert?
What this means to you:
Home Buyers: Liz is an expert in
helping save you time by using the internet, email and other technology
resources to help save your valuable time and money. She knows how busy you
are!
Home Sellers: Liz will market your
home extensively on the internet: a personal property website (see www.417Greenfield.com or www.50milland.com for samples), she will
post your home on over 50 websites, including Wall Street Journal, AOL, SF
Chronicle, Realtor.com, and many other sites.
Back to top
Fast
Facts
Calif. median home price - May 06: $ 564,430
(Source: C.A.R.)
Calif. highest median home price by C.A.R.
region May 06: Santa Barbara So. Coast $1,240,000 (Source: C.A.R.)
Calif. lowest median home price by C.A.R.
region May 06: High Desert $ 322,080 (Source: C.A.R.)
Mortgage
rates - week ending 6/15/06: (Source: Freddie Mac)
·
30-yr. fixed:
6.79%; Fees/points: 0.5%
·
15-yr. fixed: 6.44%;
Fees/points: 0.5%
·
1-yr. adjustable: 5.83%; Fees/points:
0.8%
FREE…..You can search for Marin listings directly on
BayAreaRealEstateSales.com: Search for Homes
If you are
thinking of selling your home, I would be more than happy to give you a free
home evaluation. I also create property specific websites for all of my
listings: visit: www.50Milland.com
for an example
Be sure to
check out all the other great content & features of my website:
www.BayAreaRealEstateSales.com
View the
newsletter archives
The Bay Area Real Estate Newsletter is provided
to you by:
Liz McCarthy
Real Estate Broker, e-PRO certified
Liz@BayAreaRealEstateSales.com
415-250-4929 (cell)
60 Belvedere Drive
Mill Valley, CA 94941